回测风险提示
1)期权流动性差;2)买卖价差大;3)执行困难;4)对冲成本高;5)到期处理复杂。
项目三:期权波动率交易
期权回测需要处理非线性收益、时间衰减等特殊问题。本节介绍期权回测系统的构建。
class OptionBacktester:
"""
期权回测器
"""
def __init__(self, config):
self.config = config
self.positions = []
def evaluate_option(self, option, spot, time_to_expiry):
"""
评估期权价值
"""
# 检查是否到期
if time_to_expiry <= 0:
return self.calculate_payoff(option, spot)
# 计算理论价值
return black_scholes(
S=spot,
K=option['strike'],
T=time_to_expiry,
r=self.config['risk_free_rate'],
sigma=option['volatility'],
option_type=option['type']
)
def calculate_payoff(self, option, spot):
"""
计算到期收益
"""
if option['type'] == 'call':
return max(spot - option['strike'], 0)
else:
return max(option['strike'] - spot, 0)
def backtest_strategy(self, strategy_data):
"""
策略回测
"""
results = []
for date in strategy_data['dates']:
# 更新期权价值
self.update_positions(date)
# 检查到期行权
self.handle_expiration(date)
# 执行策略信号
signals = self.generate_signals(date)
self.execute_signals(signals, date)
# 记录组合价值
portfolio_value = self.calculate_portfolio_value(date)
results.append({'date': date, 'value': portfolio_value})
return pd.DataFrame(results)
def build_volatility_surface(option_data):
"""
构建波动率曲面
"""
# 按到期日和行权价分组
surface = pd.DataFrame(index=option_data['expiry'],
columns=option_data['strike'])
for expiry in surface.index:
for strike in surface.columns:
# 获取对应期权
options = option_data[
(option_data['expiry'] == expiry) &
(option_data['strike'] == strike)
]
# 提取隐含波动率
if len(options) > 0:
surface.loc[expiry, strike] = options['iv'].mean()
# 插值填充缺失值
surface = surface.interpolate(method='linear', axis=0)
return surface
1)期权流动性差;2)买卖价差大;3)执行困难;4)对冲成本高;5)到期处理复杂。